Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.006751 0.007806 0.009044 0.010623 0.012610 0.015069 0.018403
2025-11-02 0.005260 0.006506 0.008119 0.010422 0.013739 0.018538 0.026430
2025-11-09 0.004318 0.005557 0.007259 0.009871 0.013988 0.020661 0.033430
2025-11-16 0.003715 0.004922 0.006655 0.009465 0.014228 0.022724 0.041392
2025-11-23 0.003398 0.004628 0.006469 0.009620 0.015372 0.026741 0.056052
2025-11-30 0.003080 0.004281 0.006136 0.009449 0.015862 0.029674 0.070827
2025-12-07 0.002790 0.003938 0.005758 0.009118 0.015944 0.031757 0.085508
2025-12-14 0.002582 0.003702 0.005519 0.008987 0.016389 0.034918 0.108106
2025-12-21 0.002479 0.003620 0.005526 0.009316 0.017922 0.041782 0.158874
2025-12-28 0.002412 0.003588 0.005612 0.009813 0.020016 0.051797 0.258283
2026-01-04 0.002303 0.003472 0.005531 0.009947 0.021254 0.060050 0.389233
2026-01-11 0.002175 0.003315 0.005356 0.009844 0.021830 0.066388 0.552619
2026-01-18 0.002065 0.003188 0.005244 0.009916 0.023103 0.077874 0.977615
2026-01-25 0.001935 0.003018 0.005033 0.009729 0.023580 0.086681 1.658320
2026-02-01 0.001788 0.002805 0.004714 0.009228 0.022887 0.088697 2.298029
2026-02-08 0.001669 0.002633 0.004463 0.008857 0.022532 0.092705 3.588721
2026-02-15 0.001609 0.002567 0.004419 0.008999 0.024036 0.111566 13.171386
2026-02-22 0.001529 0.002456 0.004270 0.008843 0.024400 0.123329 53.530046
2026-03-01 0.001443 0.002329 0.004077 0.008541 0.024109 0.129626 315.682380
2026-03-08 0.001379 0.002240 0.003957 0.008421 0.024527 0.144086 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001352 0.002221 0.003987 0.008722 0.026877 0.187279 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001337 0.002224 0.004064 0.009175 0.030233 0.263543 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001300 0.002180 0.004031 0.009297 0.032102 0.332472 NaN